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This note assesses the impact of the global financial risks on Oman''s banking system and highlights the remaining risks. It concludes that the liquidity and prudential measures introduced by the authorities mitigated the adverse effects of the crisis on the banking system. Banks continue to...
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The GCC countries maintain a policy of open capital accounts and a pegged (or nearly-pegged) exchange rate, thereby reducing their freedom to run an independent monetary policy. This paper shows, however, that the pass-through of policy rates to retail rates is on the low side, reflecting the...
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The determinants of long-term growth in the GCC countries -- The macroeconomic impact of migration -- Government spending, subsidies, and economic efficiency -- Fiscal policy form macroeconomic stability -- Monetary policy with a fixed exchange rate regime -- Nonperforming loans and financial...
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The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast to point forecasts), quantify macrofinancial risks in terms of growth, and monitor...
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