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We disentangle the effects of monetary policy announcements on real economic variables into an interest rate shock … component and a central bank information shock component. We identify both components using changes in interest rate futures and … that a contractionary interest rate shock appreciates the dollar, increases the excess bond premium, and leads to a decline …
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We propose a simple method for measuring systemic sovereign credit risk in the Eurozone by linking sovereign defaults to currency shocks. The framework rests on the assumption that systemic sovereign credit risk is high when sovereign defaults induce large shocks to the Euro currency market. We...
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