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Yilmazkuday, Hakan - 2016

This paper introduces a simple methodology to forecast international trade. The main innovation is to calculate non … the current change in expenditure to forecast the current imports. Using U.S. data on aggregate expenditure and good …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006843

Forecasting the Great Trade Collapse

Yilmazkuday, Hakan - In: International economics : a journal published by CEPII … 147 (2016), pp. 145-154

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623627

Forecasting the great trade collapse

Yilmazkuday, Hakan - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523255

Beyond Mechanical Markets : Asset Price Swings, Risk, and the Role of the State

Goldberg, Michael D.; Frydman, Roman - 2011

Main description: In the wake of the global financial crisis that began in 2007, faith in the rationality of markets has lost ground to a new faith in their irrationality. The problem, Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg argue, is that both the rational and behavioral theories of the market rest...