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We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break …-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector … autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to identify US and EA specific inflation expectations shocks. By modeling the …
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Are financial cycles an international phenomenon, and, if so, how do financial cycles interact? This letter provides new evidence for the US and the UK. Considering the properties of the data in both the time and the frequency domains, we find a strong relation between the financial cycles of...
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The present study aims to investigate the volatility spillover effects in the international financial markets before and during the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The subject of this paper is the study of the influence of the recent war between Russia and Ukraine on the transmission of volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459985
Based on SVAR models identified by sign restrictions, we estimate the macroeconomic effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in the euro area and the US, paying particular attention to their effects on prices. While our results confirm that such disturbances are important drivers of output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897983
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" macroeconomic events. We examine this conjecture by studying Bayesian predictive distributions for output growth and inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339756
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