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Using daily data from January 1999 to December 2011, we examine U.S. stock returns (S&P 500, Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000) based on a wide range of information, including equity VIX volatility, inflation expectations, interest rates, gold prices, and the USD/Euro exchange rate. The focus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039521
We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2008). The analysis is based on country VAR models augmented by a regional common factor structure (FAVAR model)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387304
international reserves display a higher likelihood of large losses in response to a tightening of global financial conditions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197839
We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected member countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS; Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2010). Evidence is based on country VARs augmented by a regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518862
This paper assesses the financial channel of exchange rate fluctuations for emerging countries and the link to the conventional trade channel. We analyze whether the effective exchange rate affects GDP growth, the domestic credit and the global liquidity measure as the credit in foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607883
We use rolling cointegration tests to investigate the relationship between the Renminbi daily future spot return and … future spot rate requires cointegration and a unity coefficient for the forward discount. We conclude that the unbiased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594690
Our study extends on conventional measures of contagion defined as a marked increase of cross-market correlation by directly investigating changing causality pattern by using the Granger-causality methodology. Our results show that the Asian crisis first established new and changed causality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014128698
Moments (GMM). We find that geopolitical tensions and global uncertainty in border countries contribute to the rise of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442414
The Japanese banking crisis in the late 1990s has been considered a significant turning point in the history of Japanese banking system and has attracted researcher's interest to study the increase of bad debt on Japanese banks' balance sheets leading to the crisis of the 1990s. Here we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024167
The September 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers was the 9/11 on Wall Street, and many articles had been written on the changes in the global risk landscape that followed. However, there is scarcity of rigorous studies using empirical data and advanced econometric methods to verify such a change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092502