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systemic risk, including models for the three main channels of contagion: counterparty loss, overlapping portfolios and funding … channels of contagion, models with learning and limited deductive reasoning that can survive the Lucas critique, and practical … banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906282
cost of borrowing of these countries on stock returns of banks from other countries. We find that tail sovereign GIIPS CDS … positive shocks, which creates moral hazard and is best explained by a “too-systemic-to-fail” effect. The contagion effects are … benchmark specification, holdings of peripheral country bonds by banks from other countries do not constitute a statistically or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963385
Financial intermediaries often provide guarantees that resemble out-of-the-money put options, exposing them to tail risk. Using the U.S. life insurance industry as a laboratory, we present a model in which variable annuity (VA) guarantees and associated hedging operate within the regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978571
is particularly important. For example, our data show that stock-bond contagion is approximately as frequent as flight to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317457
We provide a comprehensive analysis of the determinants of trading in the sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) market, using weekly data for single-name sovereign CDS from October 2008 to September 2015. We describe the anatomy of the sovereign CDS market, derive a law of motion for gross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541398
existing models on contagion via interbank credit, external shocks to banks often spread to other banks only in case of a …We propose an algorithm to model contagion in the interbank market via what we term the credit quality channel. In …: First, the probability of default (PD) of those banks directly affected by some shock increases. This increases the expected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381702
networks to show how contagion can propagate under different scenarios when the topology of the financial system, the … simple model of contagion as the one that has been popularized by Gai and Kapadia (2010). Then, we provide a richer model in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530664
defaults. The measure is based on an explicit criterion, the aggregate debt repayments, and is bank’s specific, affected by the … bank’s characteristics and links to other banks. Such measure can be useful to a regulator to determine in which banks cash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509633
CoCo's (contingent convertible capital) are designed to convert from debt to equity when banks need it most. Using a … on other banks in the system in the likely case of correlated asset returns, so bankruns elsewhere in the banking system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395088
This paper sets the background for the Special Issue of the Journal of Empirical Finance on the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. It identifies the channel through which risks in the financial industry leaked into the public sector. It discusses the role of the bank rescues in igniting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011588156