We show theoretically and empirically that twin currency and debt crises should be treated as a particular crisis type. Twin currency and debt crises differ from both pure currency and pure debt crises in their determinants, the course of the crises, and their economic consequences. We find that...

In this paper, we derive a modification of a forward-looking Taylor rule, which integrates two variables measuring the uncertainty of inflation and GDP growth forecasts into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model. We show that certainty-equivalence in New Keynesian models is a consequence of...

In the literature on currency and banking crises it has become the standard procedure to distinguish pure currency crises, pure banking crises and combined ("twin") currency and banking crises. We show theoretically and empirically that a similar differentiation should be chosen with regard to...

Despite major recent advance in the literature on financial crises, the key role of central banks in the dynamics of financial crises are still not well understood. Our aim is to contribute to a better understanding of the dynamics of financial crises by explicitly modeling the strategic options...

Empirically, currency crises are more frequently accompanied by simultaneous sovereign debt crises than by banking crises. Nevertheless the phenomenon of twin currency and debt crises has so far been treated in economic literature only sparsely. We analyse the optimal policy of a government that...

Empirically, currency crises are more frequently accompanied by sovereign debt crises than by banking crises. Nevertheless the phenomenon of twin currency and debt crises has so far been neglected in economic literature. We analyze the optimal policy of a government that may choose and combine...