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We survey a representative sample of US households to study how exposure to the COVID-19 stock market crash affects expectations and planned behavior. Wealth shocks are associated with upward adjustments of expectations about retirement age, desired working hours, and household debt, but have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012223788
-AGARCH) model to examine both return and volatility spillovers from the USA (developed) and China (Emerging) towards eight emerging … volatility was transmitted from the USA to the majority of the Asian stock markets during the Chinese stock market crash …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388066
Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
sovereign-sovereign, bank-bank, and bank-sovereign correlations than nonsafehavens. In a simple shock propagation model, we … illustrate how these higher correlations may turn safe havens into shock propagators. While we discuss safe havens as a group, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053036
This study augments the neoclassical growth model with a mechanism that creates a novel transmission channel through which financial shocks propagate to the real economy. By affecting agents' ability to finance consumption expenditures, financial frictions create a demand for safe assets that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918412
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During the past two decades, financial markets across the globe have experienced sporadic waves of crashes. Such waves raise concerns about the vulnerability of global financial markets and the transmission mechanisms of shocks beyond borders. The current study examines the co-movement of stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252768
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We empirically analyze asset price boom-bust cycles over a long-run period of 1896-2014 for the U.S., the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. We focus on macro-financial linkages to understand if these are common phenomena during financial crises, or if the linkage was simply amplified during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446571