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We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2008). The analysis is based on country VAR models augmented by a regional common factor structure (FAVAR model)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818764
In the paper we test for the different reactions of stock markets to the current financial crisis. We focus on Central European stock markets, namely the Czech, Polish and Hungarian ones, and compare them to the German and U.S. benchmark stock markets. Using wavelet analysis, we decompose a time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891213
We propose a simultaneous equation system with GARCH errors to model the contemporaneous relations among Asian and American stock markets. On the estimated residuals, we evaluate the correlation matrix over rolling windows and introduce a correlation matrix distance, which allows both a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003912121
The aim of this article is to examine how the dynamics of correlations between two emerging countries (Brazil and Mexico) and the US evolved from January 2003 to December 2013. The main contribution of this study is to explore whether the plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490457
We investigate the likely sources of exchange rate dynamics in selected CIS countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) over the past decade (1999-2008). The analysis is based on country VAR models augmented by a regional common factor structure (FAVAR model)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387304
I investigate the impact of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) on the returns and volatilities of eleven major European share markets, and test the proposition that the GFC developed over two stages: a subprime mortgage crisis (pre-Lehman), and a more severe global liquidity shortage phase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131279
We examine the international stock market comovements between Western Europe vis-à-vis Central (the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland) and South Eastern Europe (Croatia, Macedonia and Serbia) using multivariate GARCH models in 2006-2011. Comparing these two groups, we find that the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105624
This work examines how much of the variation in emerging market economies' (EMEs) spreads can be ascribed to 'country-specific' factors rather than to 'common' factors, once the existence of an interaction between the state of macroeconomic fundamentals and global financial conditions is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160245
The paper deals with estimation of both general GARCH as well as asymmetric EGARCH and TGARCH models, used to model the leverage effect of good news and bad news on market volatility. We estimate the models using daily returns of S&P 500 stock index and describe the news impact curves (NICs) for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155101
Using daily data of four currencies (Japanese yen, euro, British pound, and Australian dollar) in terms of the U.S. dollar, and these four currencies in terms of the euro from January 2004 to February 2008, we examine the lead-lag relationship between the credit default swap (CDS) market and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155167