In this study, we respond to the criticism that the value-at-risk (VaR) measure fails during financial crises and is only applicable during periods without asset price bubbles. We propose a new dating mechanism that is based on the work of Phillips (2015) to date-stamp the origination and...

In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and currency market data, we analyse the accuracy of the...