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We construct a financial vulnerability indicator that is consistent with the theoretical literature on determinants of defaults. It is based on the amount of new foreign financing that is needed to avoid a default or an import adjustment, expressed as a proportion of the country's sources of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768797
We examine the determinants of external crises, focusing on the role of foreign liabilities and their composition. Using a variety of statistical tools and comprehensive data spanning 1970-2011, we find that the ratio of net foreign liabilities (NFL) to GDP is a significant crisis predictor, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010838007
We review the impact of the global financial crisis, and its spillovers into the sovereign sector of the euro area, on the international “rules of the game†for dealing with sovereign debt crises. These rules rest on two main pillars. The most important is the IMF’s lending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142016
ratio of private credit to GDP, current account deficits, and openness to trade are helpful in understanding the intensity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646414
debt problems. Spreads increased and, surprisingly, so did the share of the debt held by domestic creditors. Credit was … for domestic purchases of debt. Crowding-out effects arise because private borrowing is limited by financial frictions …. This implies that domestic debt purchases displace productive investment. The model shows that these purchases reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790241
This paper analyses the history and effectiveness of the two major mechanisms of resolution of balance of payments … providing adequate lending facilities as well as focusing conditionality on macro-relevant areas. In contrast, and despite the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465432
Even after one of the most severe multi-year crises on record in the advanced economies, the received wisdom in policy circles clings to the notion that high-income countries are completely different from their emerging market counterparts. The current phase of the official policy approach is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790367
Public and private sector balance sheets are an important component to any analysis of debt sustainability. A vulnerable and indebted private sector can become a sudden liability for the government; alternatively, resilient household and bank balance sheets may reveal potential sources of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012613508
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335452