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We study the impact of increasingly negative central bank policy rates on banks' propensity to become undercapitalized in a financial crisis ('SRisk'). We find that the risk impact of negative rates is moderate, and depends on banks' business models: Banks with diversified income streams are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719935
We study the impact of increasingly negative central bank policy rates on banks' propensity to become undercapitalized in a financial crisis (`SRisk'). We find that the risk impact of negative rates depends on banks' business models: Large banks with diversified income streams are perceived as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011642197
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903443
We construct a new systemic risk measure that quantifies vulnerability to fire-sale spillovers using detailed regulatory balance sheet data for U.S. commercial banks and repo market data for broker-dealers. Even for moderate shocks in normal times, fire-sale externalities can be substantial. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202672
This paper examines the relationship between systemic risk measures across 546 financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies and oil movements. In this paper, we follow two steps. In the first step, we estimate the delta conditional VaR (CoVaR) for the financial institutions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662132
The value of assets in the digital ecosystem has grown rapidly amid periods of high volatility. Does the digital financial system create new potential challenges to financial stability? This paper explores this question using the Federal Reserve's framework for analyzing vulnerabilities in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013401861
The unusual severity of the recent global financial crisis has drawn much attention to systemic risk, particularly its measurement, and the institutions that contribute most to it. This paper provides an empirical examination of the systemic risk potential among banking institutions in Asia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005020
We identify and track over time the factors that make the financial system vulnerable to fire sales by constructing an index of aggregate vulnerability. The index starts increasing quickly in 2004, before most other major systemic risk measures, and triples by 2008. The fire-sale-specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905172
I examine the relation between Federal Reserve emergency actions and aggregate U.S. systemic risk during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 crisis. I divide these actions in to three categories: lender of last resort (LLR), liquidity provision, and open market operations (OMO)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223650
Credit default swaps ("CDSs") were widely blamed as a primary cause of the recent financial crisis; CDSs fomented panic as the price of credit protection spiked and contributed to the Federal Reserve's decision to bail out American International Group. To reduce the likelihood that credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133697