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Early warning signals of financial crises with multi-scale quantile regressions of log-periodic power law singularities
Zhang, Qun; Zhang, Qunzhi; Sornette, Didier - 2015
We augment the existing literature using the Log-Periodic Power Law Singular (LPPLS) structures in the log-price dynamics to diagnose financial bubbles by providing three main innovations. First, we introduce the quantile regression to the LPPLS detection problem. This allows us to disentangle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412424
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Emerging markets and heavy tails
Ibragimov, Marat; Ibragimov, Rustam Ju.; Kattuman, Paul A. - In: Journal of banking & finance 37 (2013) 7, pp. 2546-2559
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009760588
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Country risk index and sovereign ratings : do they foresee financial crises?
San-Martin-Albizuri, Nerea; Rodríguez Castellanos, Arturo - In: The journal of risk model validation 9 (2015) 1, pp. 33-55
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516721
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Systemic risk measures and distribution forecasting of macroeconomic shocks
Chen, Guojin; Liu, Yanzhen; Zhang, Yu - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 75 (2021), pp. 178-196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692464
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The crisis in the foreign exchange market
Melvin, Michael; Taylor, Mark P. - 2009
terms of foreign exchange market dynamics. An implementable financial stress index (FSI) is created and then used to … currencies) and we show that such an index has potential value in protecting a portfolio against loss during periods of stress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861767
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The crisis in the foreign exchange market
Melvin, Michael; Taylor, Mark P. - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887408
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The crisis in the foreign exchange market
Melvin, Michael; Taylor, Mark P. - In: Journal of international money and finance 28 (2009) 8, pp. 1317-1330
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003929178
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The structure and degree of dependence : a quantile regression approach
Baur, Dirk G. - In: Journal of banking & finance 37 (2013) 3, pp. 786-798
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009708741
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Attention to the tail(s) : global financial conditions and exchange rate risks
Eguren-Martin, Fernando; Sokol, Andrej - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202393
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Attention to the tail(s) : global financial conditions and exchange rate risks
Eguren-Martin, Fernando; Sokol, Andrej - 2020
We document how the distribution of exchange rate returns responds to changes in global financial conditions. We measure global financial conditions as the common component of country-specific financial condition indices, computed consistently across a large panel of developed and emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197839