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1. Introduction -- 2. Forgotten worlds: the stagflation of the 1970s -- 3. From Volcker to China: The “Great Moderation” begins -- 4. Houses made of sand: The “Global Financial Crisis” -- 5. Trojan horses: the long shadow of the euroarea sovereign crisis -- 6. COVID 19: the fiscal and...
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This paper analyses the cyclicality of fiscal policy (discretionary versus automatic) for 28 advanced economies over 1995-2021 by paying special attention to the Covid-19 crisis. We find evidence that discretionary fiscal policy during the Covid-19 crisis (2020-2021) was significantly more...
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This paper investigates how different income shocks shape consumption dynamics over the business cycle. First, we break … in aggregate consumption over the two most recent crises. We find that the income shocks experienced during the 2008 …, with the 2011-2012 shocks being perceived as more permanent. This helps explain why consumption falls less during the …
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