Showing 1 - 10 of 13,116
The benefits of using flight-to-safety (FTS) in volatility forecasting are assessed within a multivariate GARCH framework. In particular, we propose realized semi-covariance between falling equity and rising safe haven returns as a proxy of FTS and we use it to model the conditional distribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916710
The research focuses on the financial turmoil, pursuing different methods to foretell such turmoil. Besides, the methods are undertaken from (McCulloch and Pitts 1943) and ended till (Hosaka 2019). The evidence from such a comprehensive analysis pointed to the use of various ratios using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832626
We consolidate alternative ways for identifying stable and stressful scenarios in the S&P 500 market to construct contagion tests for recipient markets vulnerable to disturbances from this source market. The S&P 500 is decomposed into discrete conditions of: (1) Tranquil versus turbulent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156543
In this article we provide a summary of empirical results obtained in several economics and operations research papers that attempt to explain, predict, or suggest remedies for financial crises or banking defaults, as well as outlines of the methodologies used. We analyze financial and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153336
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk (MCRASH), defined as exposure to extreme realizations of … returns than stocks with low MCRASH. The premium is not explained by linear factor exposures, alternative downside risk … measures or stock characteristics. Extending market-based definitions of crash risk to other well-established factors helps to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585546
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk is priced in the cross- section of expected stock returns …. Motivated by a theoretical asset pricing model, we capture the multivariate crash risk of a stock by a combined measure based on …. We find that stocks with a high exposure to joint crashes of the market and the momentum factor bear a risk premium which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993538
environment interspersed by corrections increasing in amplitude and frequency. This calls for more adaptive dynamic risk … risk that should accurately be estimated is crash risk.This article applies the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS …) model of endogenous asset price bubbles to monitor crash risk. The model is calibrated to 15 years market history for five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419688
to hedge downside risks associated with portfolios. Our findings are of interest to regulators, risk managers, investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013389437
valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse addresses the challenge of sample size even when major disasters are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287305
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how … adequate these models are for modelling market risk at times of financial crisis. In doing so we consider a multivariate t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965868