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The September 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers was the 9/11 on Wall Street, and many articles had been written on the changes in the global risk landscape that followed. However, there is scarcity of rigorous studies using empirical data and advanced econometric methods to verify such a change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092502
The study of stock market efficiency has been the objective of many researches across the globe since the last few decades. But the evidence is mixed on whether the stock market is efficient. While some studies conclude that the stock markets are efficient, other studies cast doubt on this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116490
The aim of this article is to examine how the dynamics of correlations between two emerging countries (Brazil and Mexico) and the US evolved from January 2003 to December 2013. The main contribution of this study is to explore whether the plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490457
The objective of this paper is to estimate the relative contribution of a wide array of determinants to outbreak of financial crises in the EU candidate countries (Croatia, Macedonia and Turkey) and to identify the best-performing early warning indicators of financial crises. We have estimated a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166605
This paper presents a tractable model of non-linear dynamics of market returns using a Langevin approach.Due to non-linearity of an interaction potential, the model admits regimes of both small and large return fluctuations. Langevin dynamics are mapped onto an equivalent quantum mechanical (QM)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251128
The spillover effects of interconnectedness between financial assets are decomposed into both sources of shocks and whether they amplify or dampen volatility conditions in the target market. We use historical decompositions to rearrange information from a VAR which includes sources, direction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948930
We investigate the dynamics of the relationship between returns and extreme downside risk in different states of the market by combining the framework of Bali, Demirtas, and Levy (2009) with a Markov switching mechanism. We show that the risk-return relationship identified by Bali, Demirtas, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871525
We present a detailed bubble analysis of the Bitcoin to US Dollar price dynamics from January 2012 to February 2018. We introduce a robust automatic peak detection method that classifies price time series into periods of uninterrupted market growth (drawups) and regimes of uninterrupted market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899669
Repo is used in India as an instrument for monetary policy by institutionalizing daily Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) which allows banks and Primary Dealers to manage their liquidity needs. Liquidity stress in the market has an impact on the short term interest rate. Entities not having...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034702
We propose various specification tests for Hawkes models based on the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) principle. Hawkes models can be used to model the occurrence of extreme events in financial markets. Our specific testing focus is on extending a univariate model to a multivariate model, that is, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298883