The COVID-19 pandemic has induced chaos and turbulence in financial markets. The ongoing discussions and expectations for the future are quite bleak. In this study, we analyze the current status of the deterioration in foreign exchange markets by comparing it with the turbulence seen in the...

This research is willing to evaluate the behavior and characteristics of a worldwide pandemic economic crisis (COVID-19) and a global financial crisis in the year 2008. We propose a new indicator to compare these two types of crises. The new indicator is entitled “The economic leakage Index...

In 2021, macroprudential authorities of the European Union (EU) and European Economic Area (EEA) countries adopted emergency macroprudential policy relaxation measures to address the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. It was the first widespread and almost simultaneous use of...

I discuss some of the challenges and possible responses of the economics and finance profession following the 2008-2009 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. I do this in the context of three examples. The first example draws on the Bank of England’s forward guidance on interest rates by...

We develop a new targeted maximum likelihood estimation method that provides improved forecasting for misspecified linear autoregressive models. The method weighs data points in the observed sample and is useful in the presence of data generating processes featuring structural breaks, complex...