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Some Historical Perspectives on the Bond-Stock Yield Model for Crash Prediction Around the World
Lleo, Sebastien - 2014
predicted the crashes in China, Iceland and the US in the 2006-9 period. Iceland had a drop of fully 95%. For the US the call …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057068
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Taming Momentum Crashes
Bianchi, Daniele; De Polis, Andrea; Petrella, Ivan - 2022
We provide empirical evidence that the returns on US equity momentum exhibit a time-varying skewness which deepens during dramatic losses (crashes). As a result, the dynamics of the strategy expected returns reflects the time variation in both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
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On the return-volatility relationship in the Bitcoin market around the price crash of 2013
Bouri, Elie; Azzi, Georges; Dyhrberg, Anne Haubo - 2016
The authors examine the relation between price returns and volatility changes in the Bitcoin market using a daily database denominated in various currencies. The results for the entire period provide no evidence of an asymmetric return-volatility relation in the Bitcoin market. They test if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539994
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On the return-volatility relationship in the Bitcoin market around the price crash of 2013
Bouri, Elie; Azzi, Georges; Dyhrberg, Anne Haubo - 2017
The authors examine the relation between price returns and volatility changes in the Bitcoin market using a daily database denominated in US dollar. The results for the entire period provide no evidence of an asymmetric return-volatility relation in the Bitcoin market. The authors test if there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011600035
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An empirical analysis of the volatility spillover effect between world-leading and the Asian stock markets : implications for portfolio management
Yousaf, Imran; Ali, Shoaib; Wong, Wing Keung - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 13 (2020) 10/226, pp. 1-28
-AGARCH) model to examine both return and volatility spillovers from the USA (developed) and China (Emerging) towards eight emerging … the US and China to the Asian stock markets during the US financial crisis and the Chinese stock market crash, and the …. Additionally, volatility was transmitted from China to the majority of the Asian stock markets during the US financial crisis. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388066
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Return and volatility transmission between world-leading and Latin American stock markets : portfolio implications
Yousaf, Imran; Ali, Shoaib; Wong, Wing Keung - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 13 (2020) 7/148, pp. 1-19
This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets … (USA and China) and four emerging Latin American stock markets over the global financial crisis of 2008 and the crash of …, the results indicate a unidirectional return transmission from China to the Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru stock markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309325
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Extreme Downside Risk and Financial Crises
Harris, Richard D. F. - 2015
We investigate the dynamics of the relationship between returns and extreme downside risk in different states of the market by combining the framework of Bali, Demirtas, and Levy (2009) with a Markov switching mechanism. We show that the risk-return relationship identified by Bali, Demirtas, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015516
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Would a Stricter Fed Policy and Financial Regulation Have Averted the Financial Crisis?
Gokhale, Jagadeesh - 2009
Many commentators have argued that if the Federal Reserve had followed a stricter monetary policy earlier this decade when the housing bubble was forming, and if Congress had not deregulated banking but had imposed tighter financial standards, the housing boom and bust - and the subsequent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155688
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Can We Avoid Another Financial Crisis - Book Review
Gambles, Paul - 2022
Australian Steve Keen was, in fact, one of just 13 registered economists , out of a global total of around 36,000 (yes that really comes out as 0.04%), who actually anticipated the global financial crisis.Knowing this, I think it’s almost impossible not to want to read his latest book,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235935
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The Gold Price in Times of Crisis
Bialkowski, Jedrzej Pawel - 2013
Motivated by the recent gold price boom, this paper investigates whether rapidly growing investment activities have caused a new asset price bubble. Drawing on gold's role as dollar hedge, inflation hedge, portfolio diversifier, and safe haven, we calculate fundamentally justified returns,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094086