We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …

This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …

We investigate drivers of Euro area inflation dynamics using a panel of regional Phillips curves and identify long …-run inflation expectations by exploiting the crosssectional dimension of the data. Our approach simultaneously allows for the … inclusion of country-specific inflation and unemployment-gaps, as well as time-varying parameters. Our preferred panel …

We quantify spillovers of inflation expectations between the United States (US) and Euro Area (EA) based on break …-even inflation (BEI) rates. In contrast to previous studies, we model US and EA BEI rates jointly in a structural vector … autoregressive (SVAR) model. The SVAR approach allows to identify US and EA specific inflation expectations shocks. By modeling the …

This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …

This paper examines the anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area based on data from the Survey of … Professional Forecasters (SPF). The analysis shows that the overall distribution of medium- and long-term inflation forecasts has … found to be sensitive to short-term economic developments. These patterns suggest that euro area inflation expectations are …

We provide new insights on the formation of inflation expectations – in particular at a time of great financial and … answered a weekly questionnaire about their short-, medium- and long-term inflation expectations. Participants received common … information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results …

We provide new insights on the formation of inflation expectations - in particular at a time of great financial and … answered a weekly questionnaire about their short-, medium- and long-term inflation expectations. Participants received common … information sets with data relevant to euro area inflation. Our analysis of survey responses reveals several interesting results …

The authors show that inefficiencies in the U.S. market for inflation-linked bonds can be exploited by informed traders … who include survey estimates or inflation model forecasts in trades on break even inflation. The Treasury Inflation …