In this study, we examine whether and how tone management affects future stock price crash risk, measured as the conditional skewness of firm-specific returns. We document a positive relationship between tone management and one-year-ahead crash risk. The relationship is more pronounced for firms...

In this study, we examine the predictability of firm-specific stock price crashes using modern machine learning techniques and develop a crash prediction model that utilizes both financial ratios and textual data from the Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) of 10-K files. We show that...

This paper explores the ability of financial analysts to gauge the risk taken by banks and investigates the impact of the recent financial crisis. Using a sample of 36,343 analyst forecasts issued for 411 European banks over 2003-2009 we find that analyst forecasts are influenced by risk, the...

We examine the economic benefits of paying dividends. We find that dividend payments mitigate stock price crash risk. In addition, we show that dividend payments reduce bad news hoarding (overinvestment) while bad news hoarding (overinvestment) is positively associated with stock price crash...

This paper examines the contagion effects of the U.S. subprime crisis on international stock markets using a DCC-GARCH model on 38 country data. We find evidence of financial contagion not only in emerging markets but also in developed markets during the U.S. subprime crisis. We also find...

Market reactions to the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) provide new insights into how real shocks and financial policies drive firm value. Initially, internationally oriented firms, especially those more exposed to trade with China, underperformed. As the virus spread to Europe and the...

We evaluate and compare market reaction to syndicated loan announcements for two sets of high-profile banks, consisting of five banks that failed in 2008 during the financial crisis and the five banks that ultimately acquired them. Results show that loan announcements are viewed differently for...

In this paper, we introduce a new Bayesian approach to explain some market anomalies during financial crises and subsequent recovery. We assume that the earnings shock of an asset follows a random walk model with and without drift to incorporate the impact of financial crises. We further assume...