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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
We investigate asset returns around banking crises in 44 advanced and emerging economies from 1960 to 2018. In contrast to the view that buying assets during banking crises is a profitable long-run strategy, we find returns of equity and other asset classes generally underperform after banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518234
Disequilibrating macro shocks affect different firms' prospects differently, increasing idiosyncratic variation in forward-looking stock returns before affecting economic growth. Consistent with most such shocks from 1947 to 2020 enhancing productivity, increased idiosyncratic stock return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210099
We study the effect of ambiguity on the formation of bubbles and on the occurrence of crashes in experimental asset markets à la Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988). We extend their framework to an environment where the fundamental value of the asset is ambiguous. We show that, when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012909268
Using data from 43 markets around the world, we document that firms with larger goodwill balances have a higher stock price crash risk in future years. The positive association between goodwill balances and future crash risk is stronger for firms with weaker incentives to provide transparent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858451
We study how acquisition-FDI during economic crises affects R&D investments of target firms as compared to acquisitions made during periods of economic growth. Using a panel of Spanish firms, we find that foreign multinationals cherry-pick the best domestic firms, irrespective of timing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310470
shock to the threat of takeover to examine whether the market for corporate control has a real effect on firm-level stock … suggests that an active takeover market has a disciplining effect on managerial bad news hoarding and leads to lower future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853026
Market reaction to mergers and acquisitions is a popular research topic in finance. It has been well documented in empirical literature that target companies earn significant abnormal market returns in corporate acquisitions. However, the effects of stock market crashes, and the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052351
risk. Using a newly-developed takeover index from Cain, McKeon, and Solomon (2017) that comprehensively considers existing … state takeover laws, federal statutes, and state court standards of review along with a list of firm-specific and economic … variables, we find external takeover susceptibility reduces firms’ future stock price crash risk. This evidence is consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211482
We evaluate and compare market reaction to syndicated loan announcements for two sets of high-profile banks, consisting of five banks that failed in 2008 during the financial crisis and the five banks that ultimately acquired them. Results show that loan announcements are viewed differently for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913837