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To what extent are US and Euro Area (EA) inflation expectations determined by foreign shocks? How do transmissions change during the great recession and European sovereign debt crisis? We address these questions with a flexible structural VAR model of weekly financial markets’ inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011458367
Beginning with the global financial crisis (2008) the correlation between crude oil prices and medium-term and forward inflation expectations increased leading to fears of their un-anchoring. Using the first principal component of commodity prices as a measure for global aggregate demand, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916305
. Moreover, financial vulnerabilities amplify the effects of adverse shocks to the economy, so that even a small shock to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819348
In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761866
Consumer credit spreads significantly impact consumption and asset dynamics, affecting indebted households' spending behavior and the income sensitivity of consumption. Analyzing Danish data, we find that elevated credit spreads reduce consumption of indebted households. Our results suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480275
This paper investigates the optimal monetary policy response to a shock to collateral when policymakers act under … constrained consumers. Our results confirm the literature on model uncertainty with respect to a cost-push shock. Insuring against … model misspecification leads to a more aggressive policy response. The same is true for a shock to collateral. A preference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003870845
. Moreover, financial vulnerabilities amplify the effects of adverse shocks to the economy, so that even a small shock to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013301035
A major lesson of the recent financial crisis is that the ability of banks to withstand liquidity shocks and to provide lending to one another is crucial for financial stability. This paper studies the functioning of the interbank lending market and the optimal policy of a central bank in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152719
Monetary policy shocks that convey new macroeconomic information are significant predictors of both the absolute and risk-adjusted returns from value investing. Positive Fed information shocks lead to higher subsequent value returns. Crashes in the returns of value investing are most likely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231644
stability. We model the default of a large bank and analyse the resulting contagion effects. This is compared to a common shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971540