I review the literature on financial speculation driven by belief disagreements from a macroeconomics perspective. To highlight unifying themes, I develop a stylized macroeconomic model that embeds several mechanisms. With short-selling constraints, speculation can generate overvaluation and...

We examine the relationship between households’ demand for traditional money and the proliferation of alternative financial assets using a cross-section of countries. We have found that the inclusion of the disaggregated indicators of financial assets improves the money demand models. Notably,...

The last 15 years has brought forth an explosion of research on consumption-based asset pricing as a leading contender for explaining aggregate stock market behavior. This research has propelled further interest in consumption-based asset pricing, as well as some debate. This chapter surveys the...

Central banks (the Fed) and markets (the market) often disagree about the path of interest rates. We develop a model where these different views stem from disagreements between the Fed and the market about future aggregate demand. We then study the implications of these disagreements for...

The last 15 years has brought forth an explosion of research on consumption-based asset pricing as a leading contender for explaining aggregate stock market behavior. This research has propelled further interest in consumption-based asset pricing, as well as some debate. This chapter surveys the...

The paper introduces a portfolio-based Keynesian dynamic stochastic general disequilibrium model. It is an endogenous phase-switching macroeconomic model of risky investment where the rational expectation is applied in the financial market with three financial instruments of stocks, credits, and...

The large and widening gap between economic performance in Eastern European transition economies and those of the former Soviet Union has been dubbed "the Great Divide" by Berglof and Bolton (2002). This paper provides a rationale for the gap based upon the concept of financial repression. The...

Not necessarily. I provide evidence that advanced countries' equity premium and consumption growth differ significantly from those of emerging countries. I then estimate distinct disaster risk parameters for these two country groups. My Bayesian analysis demonstrates that in some aspects...

This study documents a hump-shaped empirical relationship between financial development and the aggregate savings rate across 12 Asian and 31 OECD economies. An incomplete-market model featuring both heterogeneous households and heterogeneous firms is provided to explain this hump-shaped...

This paper examines the empirical relation between financial market development, as measured by the stock market, and gross private savings rates in 16 emerging markets over 1982-1993. With data from all 16 countries, there is evidence of a significant positive relation between savings and stock...