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When demands and supplies are uncertain, given the prices, equilibrium cannot be defined by equating them. New equilibria are then formed on modeling markets as the abstract risk taking agent. The theory of acceptable risks is applied to redefine economic equilibrium. The market sets two prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837724
A theory of general economic equilibrium with incomplete financial markets is developed with many new features, including currency-denominated prices which enable treatment of currency-based derivative instruments and collateralized contracts. Prices in such models with standard market structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051812
This paper analyzes a dynamic stochastic equilibrium model of an asset market based on behavioral and evolutionary principles. The core of the model is a non-traditional game-theoretic framework combining elements of stochastic dynamic games and evolutionary game theory. Its key characteristic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219095
In a complete market for short-lived assets, we investigate long run wealth-driven selection on a general class of investment rules that depend on endogenously determined current and past prices. We find that market instability, leading to asset mis-pricing and informational efficiencies, is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729026
Using a laboratory experiment, we investigate whether contagion can emerge between two risky assets, even when their fundamentals are not correlated. To guide our experimental design, we use the ‘Two trees' asset pricing model developed by Cochrane et al. (2007). The model makes time-series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836283
We study the co-evolution of asset prices and individual wealth in a financial market populated by an arbitrary number of heterogeneous, boundedly rational agents. Using wealth dynamics as a selection device we are able to characterize the long run market outcomes, i.e. asset returns and wealth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746066
Classical quantitative finance models such as the Geometric Brownian Motion or its later extensions such as local or stochastic volatility models do not make sense when seen from a physics-based perspective, as they are all equivalent to a negative mass oscillator with a noise. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826182
We develop a tractable model to study the macroeconomic impacts of limited arbitrage by linking arbitrage activities with the macroeconomy through collateralization. We show that the interactions between speculative trading and the business cycle can work as a powerful transmission mechanism,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626467
We investigate the channel through which fluctuations in the market liquidity of real-sector repo collateral cause arbitrage crashes and failure of systemically important intermediaries during the global financial crisis. Intermediaries pledge productive capital as repo collateral to fund the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011875637
We propose a novel agent-based financial market framework in which speculators usually follow their own individual technical and fundamental trading rules to determine their orders. However, there are also sunspot-initiated periods in which their trading behavior is correlated. We are able to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514740