Vienas iš darbo tikslų yra sudaryti modelius, pagal kuriuos būtų galima prognozuoti Sodros pajamas pagal išlaidas, atskirų pensijų grupių išlaidas pagal jų skaičių, motinystės/tėvystės išmokas pagal apdraustųjų skaičių bei Sodros pajamas pagal šiuos kintamuosius: draudėjų...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to discuss issues relating to stress testing methods for credit risks in banks. Also, it suggests a solution to bank supervisors on evaluating stress test results. Design/methodology/approach – Discussion is based on cases analysis on a stress period of...

The current financial crisis motivates the study of correlated defaults in financial systems. In this paper we focus on such a model which is based on Markov random fields. This is a probabilistic model where uncertainty in default probabilities incorporates expert's opinions on the default risk...

Purpose – The purpose of this exploratory paper is to examine the lack of reliability of traditional neo-classical models and to argue that it is due to the hidden complexity and non-linearity that may operate at times in residential housing markets. As a result, market efficiency may be a...