Structural liquidity risk is a material risk resulting from the core banking business of taking in short-term deposits and lending out long-term loans, thus allowing a maturity mismatch between assets and liabilities. At some point the long-term loans will require refinancing and the institution...

We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing that is aimed at assessing banks’ capital adequacy, financial fragility, and probability of default. The paper provides a theoretical presentation of the methodology and the essential features of the forecasting model on...