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It is well known that estimated mean-variance portfolios deliver, on average, poor out-of-sample performance. A lesser-known fact that we characterize in this paper is that their out-of-sample performance is also very volatile. Using our analytical characterization of out-of-sample performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226237
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745
This article investigates the sensitivity analysis of mean-variance portfolio holdings to changes in the upper bounds. The optimization problem studied in this paper is, thus, constrained by a restriction that no more than certain portion of wealth can be invested in any one security. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724430
We study consumption-portfolio and asset pricing frameworks with recursive preferences and unspanned risk. We show that in both cases, portfolio choice and asset pricing, the value function of the investor/representative agent can be characterized by a specific semilinear partial differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010359861
Value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) are popular risk measures from academic, industrial and regulatory perspectives. The problem of minimizing CVaR is theoretically known to be of a Neyman-Pearson type binary solution. We add a constraint on expected return to investigate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338351
In this paper we define and compare versions of the robust and non robust portfolio selection models based on the use, as a measure of risk, of volatility, Value at Risk and Conditional Value at Risk. This with the aim to take account of asymmetries in distribution of yields, and in profits and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128519
We show how to reduce the problem of computing VaR and CVaR with Student T return distributions to evaluation of analytical functions of the moments. This allows an analysis of the risk properties of systems to be carefully attributed between choices of risk function (e.g. VaR vs CVaR); choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129064
A decomposition of a sub-class of spectral risk measures is introduced in terms of L-moments accounting for geometric characteristics of the return distribution similar to the ones described by the ordinary moments. The decomposition characterizes completely the spectral risk measures with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132326
The recent crisis made it evident that replicating the performance of a benchmark is not a sufficient goal to meet the expectations of usually risk-averse investors. The manager should also consider that the investor are seeking for a downside protection when the benchmark performs poorly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103103
In typical robust portfolio selection problems, one mainly finds portfolios with the worst-case return under a given uncertainty set, in which asset returns can be realized. A too large uncertainty set will lead to a too conservative robust portfolio. However, if the given uncertainty set is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108866