This paper presents a Heterogeneous Agent Model of a financial market with chartist and fundamentalist traders that exhibit bounded rationality and short-term thinking to explain the effect of under and overreaction to news. The existence of the Market Maker's finite price adjustment speed leads...

Die Dynamische Finanzanalyse (DFA) hat sich in den vergangenen Jahren zu einemwichtigen Instrument zur Analyse der Finanzlage eines Versicherungsunternehmens entwickelt.Trotz der zunehmenden Verbreitung der DFA in der Praxis und zahlreicher Abhandlungenin der wissenschaftlichen Literatur gibt es...

Dynamic financial analysis (DFA) has become an important tool in analyzing thefinancial situation of insurance companies. Constant development and documentationof DFA tools has occurred during the last years. However, several questionsconcerning the implementation of DFA systems have not been...

Stock picking is the field of financial analysis that is of particular interest for many professional investors and researchers. In this study stock picking is implemented via binary classification trees. Optimal tree size is believed to be the crucial factor in forecasting performance of the...

This paper presents a Heterogeneous Agent Model of a financial market with chartist and fundamentalist traders that exhibit bounded rationality and short-term thinking to explain the effect of under and overreaction to news. The existence of the Market Maker's finite price adjustment speed leads...

Bei der Altersvorsorge von Privatanlegern ergibt sich in der derzeitigen Marktsituation die Frage nach der Einführung von Anlageprodukten mit Garantien. Garantien können sich auf das Kapital oder auf eine Mindestrendite beziehen. Produktvarianten können Fonds oder Zertifikate sein. Aus Furcht...

The performance analysis of investment strategies results sometime in a ambiguous conclusion; It yields higher returns than a benchmark; however, the various tests do not confirm this statistically. Here, we argue that this is due to the low power of some testing procedures, such as Student...

Metamodeling techniques have recently been proposed to address the computational issues related to the valuation of large portfolios of variable annuity contracts. However, it is extremely difficult, if not impossible, for researchers to obtain real datasets from insurance companies in order to...

This study investigates the debatable success of technical trading rules, through the years, on the trending energy market of crude oil. In particular, the large universe of 7846 trading rules proposed by Sullivan et al. (1999), divided into five families (filter rules, moving averages, support...

In this paper, we provide a novel way to estimate the out-of-sample predictive ability of a trading rule. Usually, this ability is estimated using a sample-splitting scheme, true out-of-sample data being rarely available. We argue that this method makes poor use of the available data and creates...