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Prior international accounting studies have examined mainly the supply side of analyst research. Specific trading rights and financial reporting systems in China provide a unique opportunity to test both demand and supply factors of analyst information. For shares traded only by less-informed...
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We investigate the implications of firms' benchmark-beating pattern with respect to analysts' quarterly cash flow forecasts for current capital market valuation and future firm performance. We contend that nonnegative earnings surprises are more likely to be supported by real operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069742
We investigate firms' propensity to meet analysts' forecasts of cash flows and earnings, and identify factors pertaining to market valuation, financial analysts, and firms' financial condition to explain why firms sometimes meet cash flow forecasts but miss earnings forecasts. Firms meet cash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220420
This paper compares and contrasts two accounting information systems, the aggregate earnings system and the disaggregated cash flow/accrual system, examining their relative performance in stock valuation and in forecasting of earnings. It finds, in general, that the forecasts of earnings and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088381
While economic variables have been used extensively to forecast bond risk premia, little attention has been paid to technical indicators which are widely used by practitioners. In this paper, we study the predictive ability of a variety of technical indicators vis-a-vis the economic variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092530
We examine the profitability of implementing a short term trading strategy based on predicting the error in analysts' earnings per share forecasts using publicly available information. Since large earnings surprises may lead to extreme values in the forecast error series that disrupt their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975350
This paper evaluates whether the primary and secondary dissemination of earnings forecast revisions by security analysts is reflected in security prices. Security prices were used to determine the profitability (before the cost of search) of trading strategies based on the nonpublic knowledge of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053009