Showing 1 - 10 of 1,719
This paper evaluates whether the primary and secondary dissemination of earnings forecast revisions by security …) of trading strategies based on the nonpublic knowledge of forecast revisions. For a sample of 288 weekly earnings … forecast revisions, the results were consistent with the hypothesis that early knowledge of forecast revisions could be used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053009
reported" income statements. These changes lead to a decrease in the absolute forecast errors of analysts for both rising and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362421
implications for forecast efficiency and the stock market. We find that the two sets of forecasts strongly covary over the 1984 to … aggregate earnings, the converse is not true. Additional tests suggest that analysts underreact to economists' negative forecast … revisions (i.e., aggregate earnings forecast errors are predictably more negative following economists' downward forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096055
This study examines the relationship between components of OCI and analysts' forecasting behaviour, being forecast … negatively associated with forecast accuracy and herding. We also find that available for sale (AFS) amounts are positively … associated with forecast accuracy, herding and analyst following. Together with prior evidence, our findings provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872055
We construct a price, dividend, and earnings series for the Industrials sector, the Utilities sector, and the Railroads sector from the beginning of the 1870s until the beginning of the year 2013 from primary sources. To infer about mispricings in the sector markets over more than a century, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052818
forecast errors average 45%. At the end of the 12-month forecast horizon, only 38% of target prices are met, but 64% are met at … some time during the forecast horizon. We find statistically significant but economically weak evidence of persistent … differential abilities by sell-side analysts to forecast target prices. Target price announcement period return analyses indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013042932
This paper quantifies the amount of noise and bias in analysts' forecast of corporate earnings at various horizons. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243297
achieve this improvement one needs to identify a small pool of good forecasters and use them for forecast combinations. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014160132
This paper examines the main drawbacks of technical analysis. Although this is widely used by practitioners, from an academic perspective it can only be seen as a form of "voodoo finance". In particular, it runs into the following pitfalls: Subjectivity; Doubtful assumptions; Unjustified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489574
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557673