In a recent empirical study by Glabadanidis ("Market Timing With Moving Averages" (2015), International Review of Finance, Volume 15, Number 13, Pages 387-425; the paper is also available on the SSRN and has been downloaded more than 7,500 times) the author reports striking evidence of...

A great number of academic papers evaluate the potential for incentive-driven bias in sell-side analysts' earnings forecasts. Yet bias does not necessarily invalidate a forecast, nor does it impinge on its relative quality. We find that analysts' forecasts are optimistic relative to recently...

Analysts cover portfolios of firms. Firms in these analyst portfolios are thus in principle subject to common (integrated) production of information. Nonetheless, this paper documents significant stock return and forecast revision predictability across firms with common analyst coverage. Prices...

This paper defines systematic value investing as an empirical optimization problem. Predictive modeling is introduced as a systematic value investing methodology with dynamic and optimization features. A predictive modeling process is demonstrated using financial metrics from Gray & Carlisle and...

Modern Portfolio Theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis are the cornerstone concepts in both academic and professional curricula. In spite of their long history and reputation, the CAPM and its extensions are not able to yield satisfactory empirical results....

A diverse set of measures allows investors to evaluate hedge fund portfolio managers' performance across different dimensions. The various measures quantify the effectiveness of security selection, account for investor flows, operating risk, and worst-case investment scenarios, net out benchmark...

Is professional investing a loser's game? Many studies were conducted to answer this question. In developed markets most of the studies conclude that professional investors are unable to beat the market or expectations of the investors. These results led to the creation of large passive...

Modern Portfolio Theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and the Efficient Market Hypothesis are cornerstone concepts in both academic and professional curricula. In spite of their long history and reputation, the CAPM and its extensions do not yield satisfactory empirical results. We argue...

Factor exposures exhibit alpha across countries, not just within countries, and momentum and valuation factors generate the greatest outperformance. These factors exhibit low correlations to each other, creating valuable diversification opportunities for portfolio managers. Long-only multi-style...