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We examine whether financial analysts—sophisticated market participants—are subject to limited attention. We find that when analysts have another firm in their coverage portfolio announcing earnings on the same day as the sample firm (a “concurrent announcement”), they are less likely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902859
Analysts cover portfolios of firms. Firms in these analyst portfolios are thus in principle subject to common (integrated) production of information. Nonetheless, this paper documents significant stock return and forecast revision predictability across firms with common analyst coverage. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967356
The most popular method of calculating asset prices is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). What is the appropriate …? This research looks at the out of sample forecasting capabilities of three popular CAPM ex-post constant beta models from … the pricing, contrary to popular studies that use five to ten years of historical data. There are many different CAPM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907773
justify the DCF construction on Russian capital market use CAPM. The present paper assesses the CAPM predicted beta …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113257
Consensus analyst target prices are widely available online at no cost to investors. In this paper we consider whether these consensus target prices are informative for predicting future returns. We find that when considered in isolation, consensus target prices are not generally informative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861400
We examine the effects of social interaction among equity analysts on the transmission of geographic-specific information and the quality of analysts' forecasts. We focus on interactions among local peers, defined as analysts who work in the same brokerage office (officemates) who cover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933101
Purpose: In this paper we try to explain US stock market variations and cash flow fundamentals by employing three different book-valued based ratios, First, we explore the explanatory capacity of the simple book-market ratio on time-varying expected returns, and procced on altering its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281276
In a recent survey of analysts, 96% claim that returns are not very useful as earnings forecast model inputs. I find, though, that analysts actually do incorporate returns into their earnings forecasts, even if those returns have no underlying earnings information. This leads to forecast error,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859897
The same firm characteristics that help explain cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns, such as size, book-to-market and the earnings yield, also help explain cross-sectional variation in returns to trading in option-implied stock return volatility. This empirical phenomenon is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855869
In this paper, we forecast industry returns out-of-sample using the cross-section of book-to-market ratios and investigate whether investors can exploit this predictability in portfolio allocation. Cash-flow and return forecasting regressions show that cross-industry book-to-market ratios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968901