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We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i.e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price revisions consistent in sign with the earnings forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359306
We find that individual analysts following the same firm and quarter forecast different underlying street performance metrics. Relative to analysts whose street forecast is based on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), analysts who forecast street earnings using a non-GAAP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853409
We provide evidence consistent with firm managers opportunistically defining non-GAAP earnings in order to meet or beat analyst expectations. This result is robust to controlling for other tools of benchmark beating (e.g., discretionary accruals, real earnings management, and expectation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857384
We investigate whether investors are misled by firms that exclude particular expenses in calculating non-GAAP earnings in order to beat analysts' earnings forecasts. Our empirical analyses suggest that firms that pursue a strategy of non-GAAP reporting to beat analysts' earnings forecasts not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864015
This paper analyzes empirically the relation between financial analysts' recommendation profitability and their forecast accuracy and shows that contrary to intuition the group of most successful recommendations is not associated with the highest accuracy on average. The finding that best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973531
We analyze the relation between earning forecast accuracy and expected profitability of financial analysts. Modeling forecast errors with a multivariate Gaussian distribution, a complete characterization of the payoff of each analyst is provided. In particular, closed-form expressions for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974655
Analysts' functions are divided into discovery and interpretation roles, but separating between the two is non-trivial. We conjecture that analysts' interpretation skill can be gauged by their forecast revisions following material unanticipated news — in particular following non-earnings 8-K...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035617
We examine whether current-period stock prices influence analysts' earnings forecasts. Using an experiment with financial analysts, we find that analysts updating their earnings forecasts in response to a management earnings forecast provide different forecasts depending on the stock price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120423
We examine interactions between analyst earnings forecasts and management earnings forecasts by investigating: (1) managers' comparative efficiency relative to analysts at incorporating past earnings changes, accruals, stock returns and analyst-based earnings surprises into their earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066655
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009785600