We estimate the effect of information and ability spillovers on sell-side analysts' quarterly EPS forecast accuracy. Using a model that relates mean peer group ability along with the analyst's own ability to the analyst's forecast accuracy, we find that spillovers from peer analysts are large,...

Over the past 12 years, financial analysts across the world have been optimistically wrong with their 12-month earnings forecasts by 25.3%. This study may be the first of its kind to assess analyst earnings forecast accuracy at all listed companies across the globe, covering 70 countries. A...

Sell-side fundamental analyst reports are highly valued in the financial industry and include three main quantitative components: earnings forecasts, target prices, and buy/sell recommendations. An important question for investment managers is then, how accurate are the forecasts of fundamental...

This report presents the vital role stochastic modeling (CLM) plays in designing an algorithm that automatically produces respective BUY/SELL (BS) orders for EURO and British Pound (GBP) currencies. These trades are made possible by using the online Trader Workstation (TWS) provided by...

Facing limited attention constraints, financial analysts must strategically choose which information to pay attention to and which information to ignore when making earnings forecasts. I rely on rational inattention theory to develop and test hypotheses on factors that determine analyst...

I investigate the dynamics of analyst forecast errors relative to economic policy uncertainty and find a significant positive relation between economic policy uncertainty and analyst forecast errors. A doubling of economic policy uncertainty is associated with a 4.29 percentage points increase...

Social media can help investors gather and share information about stock markets. However, it also presents opportunities for fraudsters to spread false or misleading statements in the marketplace. Analyzing millions of messages sent on the social media platform Twitter about small...

This study proposes and tests an alternative to the extant earnings management explanation for zero and small positive earnings surprises (i.e., analyst forecast errors). We argue that analysts' ability to strategically induce slight pessimism in earnings forecasts varies with the precision of...

We hypothesize that greater information asymmetry causes greater losses to debtholders. To test this, we identify exogenous increases in information asymmetry using the loss of an analyst that results from broker closures and broker mergers. We find that the loss of an analyst causes the cost of...

Recent research finds that investors, broadly defined, react to the linguistic tone of quarterly earnings conference calls; there is a positive relation between firms' stock returns and call tone (a measure of “sentiment” related word tabulations). However, this type of soft information can...