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The Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) has been the cornerstone of the asset allocation for over 40 years. In the past decade though, it led in a rather systematic way to bad investments decisions. One of MPT's main assumptions, investor risk aversion that translates into volatility aversion, biases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905661
logic shows that the best available information can often leave decision makers less certain about future events. And for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033047
Preqin and Pitchbook data are classified and analyzed to derive a coherent set of risk-return assumptions to combine with Listed liquid assets in a traditional mean-variance framework. We find expected returns of 11%-12% for PE and 8% for PD, PC detailed per subclass. Risk is decomposed in Class...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238291
equivalence of absence of arbitrage, the existence of a positive linear pricing rule, and the existence of an optimum for some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023861
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841039
This paper studies the implications of arbitrage in a large asset market under conditions of (Knightian) uncertainty ….First, I adapt the notion of arbitrage to a market in which the assets' returns are affected by uncertainty across probability … sufficient conditions that let the approximation degenerates to the traditional Ross' arbitrage pricing theory are provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238089
's value investing paradigm. We propose that if, instead of getting fixated on investors' optimal rational decision making, we … adopt Benjamin Graham's value investing perspective which explicitly acknowledges that investor decision making is by … definition imperfect due to psychological biases, we could derive better investment decision making processes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954957
In this paper, we forecast industry returns out-of-sample using the cross-section of book-to-market ratios and investigate whether investors can exploit this predictability in portfolio allocation. Cash-flow and return forecasting regressions show that cross-industry book-to-market ratios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968901
decision making, we adopt Benjamin Graham's value investing perspective which explicitly acknowledges that investor decision … decision making processes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948474
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889