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I present evidence that a moving average (MA) trading strategy third order stochastically dominates buying and holding the underlying asset in a mean-variance-skewness sense using monthly returns of value-weighted decile portfolios sorted by market size, book-to-market cash-flow-to-price,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090377
Perold (2007) shows that, given a diffuse prior that is being updated in light of a noisy market price, the posterior distribution says that value-weighting and equal-weighting one's portfolio makes no difference. We argue that the diffuse prior is hard to reconcile with reality and that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153272
This paper examines the advantages of incorporating strategic exposure to equity volatility into the investment-opportunity set of a long-term equity investor. We consider two standard volatility investments: implied volatility and volatility risk premium strategies. To calibrate and assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905949
We study the portfolio performance of investment strategies that jointly apply both fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Compared with strategies that rely on one-dimensional fundamental or technical information, the integrated approach to fundamental and technical investing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893377
Stock selection models often use analysts' expectations, momentum, and fundamental data. We found support for composite modeling using these sources of data for global stocks during 1997-2011. We found additional evidence to support the use of SunGard APT and Axioma multi-factor models for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937536
A wide range of research has suggested that informed trading in options markets may effectively signal subsequent changes in equity prices. In this paper, we analyze the performance of long/short strategies based on a number of signals from options markets.In addition, we create an easily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870106
There is no overall consensus about which measure is the most suitable for evaluating portfolios' performance. Despite being affected by some of the statistical characteristics of returns, Sharpe ratio is the most widely used measure for portfolio performance evaluation. Thus, the other measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969503
We integrate fundamental analysis with mean-variance portfolio optimization to form fully optimized fundamental portfolios. We find that fully optimized fundamental portfolios produce large out-of-sample factor alphas with high Sharpe ratios. They substantially outperform equal-weighted and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850650
valuation. In our empirical application, we use 𝑄 to relate analyst forecasts to stock returns and measure the profitability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856424
increased interest in oil-related assets. Contrary to the hard-to-arbitrage hypothesis, sentiment affects returns on these … effects appear in a portfolio that is long hard-to-arbitrage stocks and short easy-to-arbitrage stocks, but only because this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051396