We analyse the effectiveness of fiscal policy rules for business cycle stabilisation in a monetary union using a quarterly macro-econometric model of Germany. The simulations compare a deficit target and an expenditure target under a range of supply, demand and fiscal shocks. Their effects are...

Sparpolitik als Antwort auf Finanzmarktkrise und Staatsschuldenkrise? Ein amerikanischer Professor für Internationale Wirtschaftspolitik zeigt in einer historischen und aktuellen Studie die unvermeidbar negativen Folgen der heute in Europa weit verbreiteten Politik auf. (Jürgen Plieninger)

Mit der drohenden Staatspleite einzelner Länder hat der Traum von der Europäischen Währungsunion seinen Glanz eingebüßt und seine Risiken offenbart. Angela Merkels Diktum "Scheitert der Euro, dann scheitert Europa" versucht die Währungsfrage in einen größeren Zusammenhang zu stellen. Das...

We study the relationship between the budget balance and the current account balance for European Union(EU) countries, using quarterly data from1995 to2020. Through the use of panel Granger causality tests and a panel SUR model, we conclude that the relationship is bi-directional for the EU...

This paper examines effects of political ideology of a governing party on fiscal outcomes, using data from eight Central and Eastern European countries in the 2001-2017 period. The analysis shows that there is a statistically significant effect of conservative governments on fiscal variables,...

We revisit the relation between budget deficits and current account deficits for 28 European Union countries from 1996 to 2019. We find that an increase in budget deficit of 1 pp of GDP results in a deterioration of the current account deficit of 0.318 pp of GDP, which supports the Twin Deficits...

We study the relationship between fiscal policy and household saving across the euro area countries for the period 1999-2019. To this extent, we propose a thick modelling approach, which allows a vast number of model specifications in a dynamic panel setting. We find that fiscal expansions are...