We evaluate possible explanations for the absence of a persistent decline in inflation during the Great Recession and find commonly suggested explanations to be insufficient. We propose a new explanation for this puzzle within the context of a standard Phillips curve. If firms' inflation...

This paper discusses the role of inflation expectations in the inflation dynamics of the Philippines since its adoption of inflation targeting in 2002. It places a particular focus on the post-crisis period. A key finding is that agents have become more forwardlooking with the adoption of...

This comment provides a correction to the paper "Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation" by Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko (2015) in the American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics

We evaluate possible explanations for the absence of a persistent decline in inflation during the Great Recession and find commonly suggested explanations to be insufficient. We propose a new explanation for this puzzle within the context of a standard Phillips curve. If firms' inflation...

Conventional Phillips-curve models that are used to estimate the output gap detect a substantial decline in potential output due to the present crisis. Using a multivariate state space model, we show that this result does not hold if the long run role of excess liquidity (that we estimate...