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The confidence channel of US financial uncertainty : evidence from industry-level data
Karaki, Mohamad B.; Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar - In: Economic modelling 129 (2023), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472145
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Eliciting GDP forecasts from the FOMC's minutes around the financial crisis
Ericsson, Neil R. - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 571-583
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597221
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Leading indicators of financial stress : new evidence
Vašíček, Bořek; Žigraiová, Diana; Hoeberichts, Marco - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283835
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Leading indicators of financial stress : new evidence
Vašíček, Bořek; Žigraiová, Diana; Hoeberichts, Marco - In: Journal of financial stability 28 (2017), pp. 240-257
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011825565
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Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth : evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession
Ferrara, Laurent; Marsilli, Clément - In: Applied economics letters 20 (2013) 1/3, pp. 233-237
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009702950
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Real-time Markov switching and leading indicators in times of the financial crisis
Theobald, Thomas - 2012
This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616498
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Forecasting US economic growth in downturns using cross-country data
Lyu, Yifei; Nie, Jun; Yang, Shu-Kuei X. - In: Economics letters 198 (2021), pp. 1-5
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605756
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Are yield-curve/monetary cycles' approaches enough to predict recessions?
Iqbal, Azhar; Bullard, Sam; Silvia, John E. - In: Business economics : the journal of the National … 54 (2019) 1, pp. 61-68
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012297263
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Early warning or too late? : a (pseudo-)real-time identification of leading indicators of financial stress
Duprey, Thibaut; Klaus, Benjamin - In: Journal of banking & finance 138 (2022), pp. 1-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461945
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Forecasting euro area recessions by combining financial information
Bellégo, Christophe; Ferrara, Laurent - In: International journal of computational economics and … 7 (2017) 1/2, pp. 78-94
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011713550