Preface -- Nonlinear modelling of the relation between financial markets and economic growth in the EU / Lucian-Liviu Albu, Radu Lupu, Adrian Cantemir Calin, Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Romania -- The eastern and central European financial market reaction to...

There is a general acceptance of the fact that a significant direct relationship between financial markets and macroeconomic variables exists, especially by considering the assertion that developed financial markets correspond to high GDP levels. This paper provides an investigation of the...

Perceptions of economic trends and growth rates around the world over the past two decades, especially in advanced economies, suggests that the world is in a period of low growth without external stimulus delivered via speculative activities in the financial markets or fiscal stimulus. But is...

This paper mainly examines the effect of financial development on the recession, while controlling for potential recession factors. Using panel data of 129 countries spanning 1990-2010, we implemented "Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing", "Local Linear" and "Iteratively Reweighted Least...

We investigate the effects of financial development on recession while controlling for potential recession factors using data of about 129 countries covering the 1990-2010 period. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study examining this relationship using a plural and innovative...

In this paper, we present the root cause of the American financial crisis in 2007. We show that financial integration and capital flow volatility is the factor that creates a climate conducive to the emergence of the crisis in the USA and led to its spread to the rest of the world. On the...