This paper provides an overview of the antecedents, main drivers and spillover mechanisms of the turbulence emanating from the US sub-prime credit market in the summer of 2007. Its primary goal is to discuss the facts and interrelationships featured in the various analyses and statistics in a...

We explore the dynamic effects of news about a future technology improvement which turns out ex post to be overoptimistic. We find that it is difficult to generate a boom-bust cycle (a period in which stock prices, consumption, investment and employment all rise and then crash) in response to...

The contribution of this paper is to revisit the Early Warning System (EWS) literature by analysing selected episodes of financial market crisis, i.e. those preceded by a spell of credit and real estate expansions. The aim is to disentangle instances when this constitutes a natural phenomenon...

Die Verbriefung, also die Finanzierung von Krediten über den Kapitalmarkt, hat in den letzten Jahren deutlich an Bedeutung gewonnen. Die Subprime-Krise zeigt jedoch deren Mängel auf. Da die Immobilienfinanzierer das Risiko aus der Kreditvergabe an den Kapitalmarkt weitergeben konnten, wurden...

Credit booms sometimes lead to financial crises which are accompanied with severe and persistent economic slumps. Does this imply that monetary policy should "lean against the wind" and counteract excess credit growth, even at the cost of higher output and inflation volatility? We study this...

Die jüngste Finanzmarktkrise hat deutlich gemacht, wie eng die Verbindung zwischen Immobilienfinanzierung, Immobilienmarkt und Finanzmarkt ist. Die Immobilienmärkte in den einzelnen Volkswirtschaften reagierten jedoch sehr unterschiedlich auf Zinsveränderungen und andere makroökonomische...