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plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of global financial crisis (2007 - 2009), exerts contagion effects on … terms, and time-varying correlations. The empirical analysis shows a contagion effect for Brazil and Mexico during the early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490457
This paper proposes an original three-part sequential testing procedure (STP), with which to test for contagion using a … test is applied to the correlation matrix to identify and date the potential contagion mechanism. As a third element, the … STP tests for the distinctiveness of the break dates previously found. Compared to traditional contagion tests in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484769
This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
Using variance decompositions in vector auto-regressions (VARs) we model a high-dimensional network of European CDS spreads to assess the transmission of credit risk to the non-financial corporate sector. Our findings suggest a sectoral clustering in the CDS network, where financial institutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317318
Using variance decompositions in vector auto-regressions (VARs) we model a high-dimensional network of European CDS spreads to assess the transmission of credit risk to the non-financial corporate sector. Our findings suggest a sectoral clustering in the CDS network, where financial institutions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978741
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
existence of pure contagion (Masson, 1999) rather than shift-contagion (Rigobon, 2003). Then, we explicitly define financial … “contagion” in accordance with Eichengreen et al. (1996) and we extend the Cerra and Saxena (2002) methodology by using a Markov … subprime crisis. In addition, there is evidence of mean and volatility contagion in MENA stock markets caused by the US stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137463
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948703
existence of financial contagion around the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008. There appears to be a regime shift to … time, which can be used to identify channels of contagion. We find the dominant role of foreign investment for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143576
This study examines the determinants of time-varying return volatility of Africa's equity markets using monthly indices of eight top African stock markets. The conditional variance is modelled as a proxy for Africa's volatility indices using the best fitting model among SGARCH, EGARCH and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501248