We show that a .scal expansion by the core economies of the euro area would have a large and positive impact on periphery GDP assuming that policy rates remain low for a prolonged period. Under our preferred model speci.cation, an expansion of core government spending equal to one percent of...

Front Matter -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of tables -- List of contributors -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Part I: Financial instability after the global financial crisis: taxonomy and models -- 1. The Global Financial Crisis -- 2. Minsky's financial instability hypothesis -- 3. Financial...

We develop an operational model of information contagion and show how it may be integrated into a mainstream, top-down, stress-testing framework to quantify systemic risk. The key transmission mechanism is a two-way interaction between the beliefs of secondary market investors and the...