This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …

This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …

We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … the firm anchoring of medium to long-term inflation expectations been touched? Deriving densities from a new data set on … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …

We provide comprehensive evidence of the widespread occurrence of inflation convergence between all countries of the … inflation benchmarks (the cross-sectional average, the inflation target of the European Central Bank, and the Maastricht … criterion), structural breaks, and a core inflation measure. Our main findings imply that further enlargement of the euro area …

We investigate drivers of Euro area inflation dynamics using a panel of regional Phillips curves and identify long …-run inflation expectations by exploiting the crosssectional dimension of the data. Our approach simultaneously allows for the … inclusion of country-specific inflation and unemployment-gaps, as well as time-varying parameters. Our preferred panel …