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The world economy is emerging from the throes of a historically deep and synchronized recession provoked by the …
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We derive an option-pricing formula from recursive preference and estimate rare disaster probability. The new options-pricing formula applies to far-out-of-the money put options on the stock market when disaster risk dominates, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the...
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Global Economic Prospects 2010: Crisis, Finance and Growth presents the World Bank's latest short-term forecasts. In …
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