Regarding the asymmetric and leptokurtic behavior of financial data, we propose a new contagion test in the quantile regression framework that is robust to model misspecification. Unlike conventional correlation-based tests, the proposed quantile contagion test allows us to investigate the stock...

We augment the existing literature using the Log-Periodic Power Law Singular (LPPLS) structures in the log-price dynamics to diagnose financial bubbles by providing three main innovations. First, we introduce the quantile regression to the LPPLS detection problem. This allows us to disentangle...

Growth at Risk (GaR) methodology developed by Adrian et al. (2019) has been of special interest by policymakers since it provides a measure of the relationship among macrofinancial variables. GaR requires estimating a set of predictive quantile regressions (QR) where future economic activity...

This study contributes to re-examining gold as a safe haven asset in 16 international markets, and compares its function with government bonds over the past 20 years. The extremal quantile regression model by Chernozhukov (2005) and Chernozhukov and Fernandez-Val (2011) is applied. The empirical...

This multi-faceted analysis of institutional investment defines fiduciary finance institutions as the third pillar of the financial system, alongside banks and insurers. It documents the role played by investment funds and the money management industry during the recent financial crisis, and...

What are the social-economic consequences of financial market bubbles and crashes? Using novel comprehensive administrative data from China, we document a substantial increase in inequality of wealth held in risky assets by Chinese households in the 2014-15 bubble-crash episode: the largest 0.5%...

We study the interactions between cryptocurrencies, stock markets, and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) by means of a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) framework. We rely on two market factors to model the comovements of returns within cryptocurrencies and stock markets. We...

The international Financial Crisis shock of 2008/09 is used as case study with a worldwide data set of 210 states to examine potential resilience factors with special focus on country size, along with other pre-crisis determinants. The cross-country analysis suggests an increasing partial effect...

Using cross-country data, this paper estimates the impact of the 2007 financial shock on countries' macroeconomic developments conditional on national financial regulations before the crisis. For this purpose, the financial reform index developed by Abiad et al. (A New Database of Financial...

The main strength of today’s international monetary system – its flexibility and adaptability to the different needs of its users – can also become its weakness, as it may contribute to unsustainable growth models and imbalances. The global financial crisis has shown that the system cannot...