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Regarding the asymmetric and leptokurtic behavior of financial data, we propose a new contagion test in the quantile regression framework that is robust to model misspecification. Unlike conventional correlation-based tests, the proposed quantile contagion test allows us to investigate the stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504111
We augment the existing literature using the Log-Periodic Power Law Singular (LPPLS) structures in the log-price dynamics to diagnose financial bubbles by providing three main innovations. First, we introduce the quantile regression to the LPPLS detection problem. This allows us to disentangle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412424
This multi-faceted analysis of institutional investment defines fiduciary finance institutions as the third pillar of the financial system, alongside banks and insurers. It documents the role played by investment funds and the money management industry during the recent financial crisis, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115823
What are the social-economic consequences of financial market bubbles and crashes? Using novel comprehensive administrative data from China, we document a substantial increase in inequality of wealth held in risky assets by Chinese households in the 2014-15 bubble-crash episode: the largest 0.5%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848961
The main strength of today’s international monetary system – its flexibility and adaptability to the different needs of its users – can also become its weakness, as it may contribute to unsustainable growth models and imbalances. The global financial crisis has shown that the system cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606275
The international Financial Crisis shock of 2008/09 is used as case study with a worldwide data set of 210 states to examine potential resilience factors with special focus on country size, along with other pre-crisis determinants. The cross-country analysis suggests an increasing partial effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013350025
Using cross-country data, this paper estimates the impact of the 2007 financial shock on countries' macroeconomic developments conditional on national financial regulations before the crisis. For this purpose, the financial reform index developed by Abiad et al. (A New Database of Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317973
This paper aims to shed light on some of the major allocative consequences of financial market bubbles. In March 1997, the Neuer Markt in Germany opened. Six years later, in June 2003, it closed forever. In the interim period lay the spectacular rise and fall of the first and most important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653397
Many studies have documented a negative association between macroeconomic indicators and fertility in times of economic crisis. These studies are based on research designs that do not allow for excluding that the observed association is driven by confounders. The aim of the present paper is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428605
Using cross-country data, this paper estimates the impact of the 2007 financial shock on countries’ macroeconomic developments conditional on national financial regulations before the crisis. For this purpose, the "financial reform index" developed by Abiad et al. (A New Database of Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009773058