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A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936616
As witnessed during the 1997/98 Asian financial crisis, the dependency on short-term foreign capital for long-term investment made the region vulnerable to the sudden reversal of capital inflows. Rapid capital outflows not only caused the collapse of the financial system but also a sharp...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697263
This paper uses the method developed by Bollerslev and Todorov (2011b) to estimate risk premia for extreme events for the US and the German stock markets. The method extracts jump tail measures from high-frequency futures price data and from options data. In a second step, jump tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249730
In a tractable stochastic volatility model, we identify the price of the smile as the price of the unspanned risks traded in SPX option markets. The price of the smile reflects two persistent volatility and skewness risks, which imply a downward sloping term structure of low-frequency variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412294
This paper investigates the relationship between liquidity and stock returns in the Vietnam stock market during financial crisis using a data set ranging from 2006 to 2010. Employing a rich and detailed dataset of characteristics of firm listed in Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange, the results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128995
This paper studies cross-sectional determinants of stock returns and order flow around five recent episodes of market crashes in the United States during the period from 1998 to 2008. Stocks with high volatility, turnover and market beta are consistent losers during crashes and winners during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133559
In this paper, we investigate short sale constraints' impact on the incidence of extreme stock market movements. The latter can be used to proxy for the likelihood of tail events like crashes and bubbles in a market and, thus, is a crucial measure of stock market stability. Since crashes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113770
Short sellers are routinely blamed for destabilizing stock markets by exacerbating deviations from fundamental values. In response, regulators periodically impose short sale constraints aimed at preventing excessive stock market declines. One explanation is that policy makers regard short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114147
We investigate the stock market crashes in China, Iceland, and the US in the 2007-2009 period. The bond stock earnings yield difference model is used as a prediction tool. Historically, when the measure is too high, meaning that long bond interest rates are too high relative to the trailing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114443
This chapter reviews short selling practices in emerging markets and market performances during the global financial crisis. In contrast to developed markets, many emerging countries do not permit short selling, which can pose severe limitations on market liquidity. We compare market volatility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118429