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fundamentals-based or pure contagion. To do so, we examine the behaviour of EMU sovereign bond yield spreads with respect to the … contagion) and episodes of significantly reduced interconnection (which we associate with immunisation). We then use an ordered … variables proxying market sentiment and of variables proxying macrofundamentals in determining contagion and immunisation …
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This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several … channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446
Using a DSGE model with nominal wage rigidity, we investigate two scenarios for the Italian economy. The first considers sustained policy commitment to reform. The results indicate the possibility of 'growing out of bad initial conditions', if fiscal consolidation is combined with a program for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244451
This paper analyzes sovereign risk shift-contagion, i.e. positive and significant changes in the propagation mechanisms … propagation of shocks in euro's bond yield spreads shows almost no presence of shift-contagion. All the increases in correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527055
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
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plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of global financial crisis (2007 - 2009), exerts contagion effects on … terms, and time-varying correlations. The empirical analysis shows a contagion effect for Brazil and Mexico during the early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490457