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Previous work has documented a greater sensitivity of long-term government bond yields to fundamentals in Euro area stress countries during the euro crisis, but we know little about the driver(s) of regime-switches. Our estimates based on a panel smooth threshold regression model quantify and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974869
Previous work has documented a greater sensitivity of long-term government bond yields to fundamentals in Euro area stress countries during the euro crisis, but we know little about the driver(s) of regimeswitches. Our estimates based on a panel smooth threshold regression model quantify and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248886
Unlike the crisis years of 2007-2009 (when the insolvency of large banks was a major problem), the current round of the global financial crisis has fiscal origins. Almost all developed countries suffer from an excessive public debt burden that has been built up over the last two decades or more....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572988
This paper examines whether the Big Three credit rating agencies actually played as active a role in the Euro Crisis as previously asserted. On the basis of panel data methods for a set of 11 EMU countries, the analysis reveals significant evidence for an arbitrary markup on the GIPS group of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317827
We compare the experience of Latin American external debt crises, in particular the one in the 80s, with the current European one. We do so with the aim of shedding some light on the needed adjustment mechanisms. We argue for the need of much larger debt relief in Europe. To address the moral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402569
Against the backdrop of the Greek three-act tragedy, we present a theoretical framework for studying Greece’s recent debt and currency crisis. The model is built on two essential blocks: first, erratic macroeconomic policymaking in Greece is described using a stochastic regime-switching model;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406792
The final stage of the unification process of European Union is monetary union. From July 1, 2002, The currency called the Euro has replaced the national currencies. This situation has caused concern from the very beginning. Unless achieving harmonization on application of monetary and fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097498
Unlike the crisis years of 2007-2009 (when the insolvency of large banks was a major problem), the current round of the global financial crisis has fiscal origins. Almost all developed countries suffer from an excessive public debt burden that has been built up over the last two decades or more....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102556
We investigate the relationship of the market pricing of sovereign risk to default, through CDS spreads for 16 Eurozone countries during 2008q1-2013q3. We take into account, through appropriate non-linear GMM estimations the endogeneity problem. We focus on “fiscal space” (DEBT or FISCAL),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976894
Why did Europe fail to manage the euro area crisis and what lessons can be drawn from this failure for Europe's future? Studying the EU/IMF program that was imposed on Greece in May 2010 — the original sin of the crisis — highlights both the nature of the problem and the difficulty in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013481