Showing 1 - 10 of 1,629
We study the emergence of bubbles in a laboratory experiment with large groups of individuals. The realized price is … the aggregation of the forecasts of a group of individuals, with positive expectations feedback through speculative demand … findings are: (i) large asset bubbles occur in large groups, (ii) information contagion through news affects behaviour and may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892070
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to … forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants …". We observe both stable markets and large bubbles for both small and large markets. The data analysis shows no differences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
market using shocks to aggregate income, the distribution of income, credit conditions, and expectations of future housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014301444
We introduce a simple equilibrium model of a market for loans. Households lend to firms and form expectations about … their loan default probability. Under heterogeneous expectations, with switching between forecasting strategies driven by … expectations risk premium, i.e. significantly higher contract rates for loans and significantly lower output. Our stylized model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104237
expectations and planned behavior. Wealth shocks are associated with upward adjustments of expectations about retirement age … experimental evidence that beliefs about the duration of the stock market recovery shape households' expectations about their own …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835653
expectations and planned behavior. Wealth shocks are associated with upward adjustments of expectations about retirement age … experimental evidence that beliefs about the duration of the stock market recovery shape households' expectations about their own …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836671
Behavioral and experimental literature on financial instability focuses on either subjective price expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894616
? Our explanation combines rational expectations equilibrium and "lemons" models. When specialist (informed) market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972034
This paper explores how speculators can destabilize financial markets by amplifying negative shocks. During periods of turmoil created by an uncertainty shock, speculators react to declining asset prices by liquidating their holdings in hopes of buying them back later at a gain, despite the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007006
Conviction narrative theory (CNT), a social psychological approach to the way economic agents take deisions under Knightian uncertainty, together with the new methodology of directed algorithmic text analysis (DATA), provide the opportunity for a theory of economic sentiment or animal sprits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057194